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Intelligence Briefs

Climate signals, satellite analytics, and market research from the global coffee-producing belt.

Featured Mar 2025 · Climate Analysis

El Niño Aftermath: How 2024 Climate Anomalies Are Reshaping Arabica Supply in 2025

Satellite-derived vegetation stress indices across Brazil's Minas Gerais and Colombia's Huila department reveal persistent drought imprinting — with forward implications for Q3 2025 futures positioning.

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SAR Analysis · Feb 2025

Sentinel-1 SAR Coherence Maps Reveal Early Frost Damage Across Southern Brazil

Temporal coherence loss patterns detected six weeks ahead of official CONAB harvest assessment — and what it means for ICE futures.

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Market Signal · Jan 2025

Vietnam Robusta: LSWI Moisture Deficits and the Q2 Price Premium Signal

Land Surface Water Index anomalies across the Central Highlands indicate below-average cherries — coinciding with tightening London futures spreads.

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Methodology · Dec 2024

From Pixel to Price: How We Translate NDVI Signals Into Futures Forecasts

A technical walkthrough of our six-stage pipeline — from Sentinel-2 imagery ingestion to probabilistic price-range outputs.

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Climate Analysis · Nov 2024

East African Arabica: IOD Influence on Ethiopian and Kenyan Crop Calendars

Indian Ocean Dipole phase transitions correlated with historical yield data reveal a 73% signal accuracy for Yirgacheffe and Nyeri growing seasons.

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Market Signal · Oct 2024

ICE Arabica Futures: How Geospatial Lead Indicators Anticipated the Oct 2024 Rally

A retrospective case study showing how vegetation anomaly signals preceded the 18% ICE C futures surge by 34 trading days.

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SAR Analysis · Sep 2024

Colombia Canopy Disruption: Detecting Roya (Coffee Leaf Rust) Spread via Radar Backscatter

Multi-temporal SAR backscatter anomalies in Nariño and Cauca departments as early indicators of fungal crop stress.

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